----------------------------------------------- lines 5-75 of file: xrst/model/prev_depend.xrst ----------------------------------------------- {xrst_begin prev_dep} Prevalence Does Not Depend On Other Cause Mortality ################################################### Lemma ***** Suppose :math:`\iota (t) \geq 0`, :math:`\omega (t) \geq 0` and :math:`\chi(t) \geq 0` are known functions. Define :math:`S(t)` by :math:`S(0) = s_0 > 0` and .. math:: S'(t) = - [ \iota (t) + \omega (t) ] S(t) Define :math:`C(t)` by :math:`C(0) = c_0 > 0` and .. math:: C'(t) = + \iota (t) S(t) - [ \chi (t) + \omega (t) ] C(t) Define :math:`P(t)` by :math:`P(t) = C(t) / [ S(t) + C(t) ]` It follows that :math:`P(t)` does not depend on the value of :math:`\omega (t)`. Proof ***** It follows that :math:`S(t) > 0`, :math:`C(t) > 0` for all :math:`t` and .. math:: P(t) = 1 / [ 1 + S(t) / C(t) ] Define :math:`Q(t) = C(t) / S(t)`. It suffices to show that :math:`Q(t)` does not depend on :math:`\omega(t)`. Taking the derivative of :math:`Q(t)` we have .. math:: Q'(t) = [ C'(t) S(t) - S'(t) C(t) ] / S(t)^2 Dropping the dependence on :math:`t` we have .. math:: :nowrap: \begin{eqnarray} Q' & = & [ + \iota S S - ( \chi + \omega ) C S + ( \iota + \omega ) S C ] / S^2 \\ & = & [ + \iota S - ( \chi + \omega ) C + ( \iota + \omega ) C ] / S \\ & = & \iota + ( \iota - \chi ) Q \end{eqnarray} So :math:`Q(t)` satisfies the equation :math:`Q(0) = c_0 / s_0` and .. math:: Q'(t) = \iota(t) + [ \iota(t) - \chi (t) ] Q(t) If follows that :math:`Q(t)` does not depend on :math:`\omega (t)` which completes the proof. {xrst_end prev_dep}